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NBA Season Projections & Playoff Odds

5/1/2026, 12:30:50 PM

To view playoff, finals, and championship odds, plus detailed team outlooks including seed projections, win distribution charts, and probability analysis:

EASTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Pistons
60-2260-2273.2% 0100.0%
2
Celtics
56-2656-2668.3% 0100.0%
3
Knicks
53-2953-2964.6% 0100.0%
4
Cavaliers
52-3052-3063.4% 0100.0%
5
Hawks
46-3646-3656.1% 0100.0%
6
Raptors
46-3646-3656.1% 0100.0%
7
Magic
45-3745-3754.9% 0100.0%
8
76ers
45-3745-3754.9% 0100.0%
9
Hornets
44-3844-3853.7% 00.0%
10
Heat
43-3943-3952.4% 00.0%
11
Bucks
32-5032-5039.0% 00.0%
12
Bulls
31-5131-5137.8% 00.0%
13
Nets
20-6220-6224.4% 00.0%
14
Pacers
19-6319-6323.2% 00.0%
15
Wizards
17-6517-6520.7% 00.0%
WESTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Thunder
64-1864-1878.0% 0100.0%
2
Spurs
62-2062-2075.6% 0100.0%
3
Nuggets
54-2854-2865.9% 0100.0%
4
Lakers
53-2953-2964.6% 0100.0%
5
Rockets
52-3052-3063.4% 0100.0%
6
T-Wolves
49-3349-3359.8% 0100.0%
7
Suns
45-3745-3754.9% 0100.0%
8
Clippers
42-4042-4051.2% 00.0%
9
Blazers
42-4042-4051.2% 0100.0%
10
Warriors
37-4537-4545.1% 00.0%
11
Mavericks
26-5626-5631.7% 00.0%
12
Pelicans
26-5626-5631.7% 00.0%
13
Grizzlies
25-5725-5730.5% 00.0%
14
Kings
22-6022-6026.8% 00.0%
15
Jazz
22-6022-6026.8% 00.0%

Team Advancement Probabilities

Visualize each team's likelihood of reaching different playoff rounds. The size of each team's "orbit" scales with their Championship odds. Hover over a team for details (full odds available to subscribers).

Team Playoff Orbits

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

BOS

Boston Celtics

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

SAS

San Antonio Spurs

NYK

New York Knicks

DET

Detroit Pistons

MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

LAL

Los Angeles Lakers

ORL

Orlando Magic

HOU

Houston Rockets

TOR

Toronto Raptors

PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
Subscribe to see full details for all teams.

Most Likely Playoff Bracket

This bracket shows the most probable first-round matchups based on projected seeding, including simulated play-in results. Series win odds are shown for each matchup (full advancement odds available to subscribers).

Team 2nd RoundConf FinalsFinalsTitle
Oklahoma City Thunder------------
Boston Celtics------------
Cleveland Cavaliers------------
San Antonio Spurs------------
New York Knicks------------
Detroit Pistons------------
Minnesota Timberwolves------------
Los Angeles Lakers------------
Orlando Magic------------
Houston Rockets------------
Toronto Raptors------------
Philadelphia 76ers------------
Subscribe to see round-by-round advancement odds.