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NBA Season Projections & Playoff Odds

3/14/2026, 12:30:34 PM

To view playoff, finals, and championship odds, plus detailed team outlooks including seed projections, win distribution charts, and probability analysis:

EASTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Pistons
48-1858-2470.7% 16100.0%
2
Celtics
43-2355-2767.1% 16100.0%
3
Knicks
43-2553-2964.6% 14100.0%
4
Cavaliers
41-2652-3063.4% 15100.0%
5
Heat
38-2946-3656.1% 1592.5%
6
Magic
37-2846-3656.1% 1789.0%
7
Raptors
37-2945-3754.9% 1688.0%
8
Hornets
34-3342-4051.2% 1549.7%
9
Hawks
35-3142-4051.2% 1643.6%
10
76ers
35-3142-4051.2% 1637.2%
11
Bucks
27-3834-4841.5% 170.1%
12
Bulls
27-4033-4940.2% 150.1%
13
Nets
17-4922-6026.8% 160.0%
14
Pacers
15-5220-6224.4% 150.0%
15
Wizards
16-4920-6224.4% 170.0%
WESTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Thunder
52-1564-1878.0% 15100.0%
2
Spurs
48-1859-2372.0% 16100.0%
3
Rockets
41-2552-3063.4% 16100.0%
4
Nuggets
41-2651-3162.2% 1599.9%
5
T-Wolves
41-2650-3261.0% 1598.6%
6
Lakers
41-2549-3359.8% 1697.6%
7
Suns
39-2846-3656.1% 1585.5%
8
Clippers
34-3244-3853.7% 1671.2%
9
Warriors
32-3441-4150.0% 1625.2%
10
Blazers
32-3540-4248.8% 1522.1%
11
Grizzlies
23-4328-5434.1% 160.0%
12
Pelicans
22-4627-5532.9% 140.0%
13
Mavericks
22-4526-5631.7% 150.0%
14
Jazz
20-4725-5730.5% 150.0%
15
Kings
16-5120-6224.4% 150.0%

Team Advancement Probabilities

Visualize each team's likelihood of reaching different playoff rounds. The size of each team's "orbit" scales with their Championship odds. Hover over a team for details (full odds available to subscribers).

Team Playoff Orbits

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

BOS

Boston Celtics

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

NYK

New York Knicks

SAS

San Antonio Spurs

DET

Detroit Pistons

DEN

Denver Nuggets

MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

HOU

Houston Rockets

LAL

Los Angeles Lakers

ORL

Orlando Magic

PHX

Phoenix Suns

GSW

Golden State Warriors

CHA

Charlotte Hornets

MIA

Miami Heat

TOR

Toronto Raptors

LAC

LA Clippers

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

POR

Portland Trail Blazers

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
Subscribe to see full details for all teams.

Most Likely Playoff Bracket

This bracket shows the most probable first-round matchups based on projected seeding, including simulated play-in results. Series win odds are shown for each matchup (full advancement odds available to subscribers).

Team 2nd RoundConf FinalsFinalsTitle
Oklahoma City Thunder------------
Boston Celtics------------
Cleveland Cavaliers------------
New York Knicks------------
San Antonio Spurs------------
Detroit Pistons------------
Denver Nuggets------------
Minnesota Timberwolves------------
Houston Rockets------------
Los Angeles Lakers------------
Orlando Magic------------
Phoenix Suns------------
Golden State Warriors------------
Charlotte Hornets------------
Miami Heat------------
Toronto Raptors------------
LA Clippers------------
Atlanta Hawks------------
Philadelphia 76ers------------
Portland Trail Blazers------------
Subscribe to see round-by-round advancement odds.